BTC value foregoes Santa rally as Bitcoin volatility hits file low – Cointelegraph

Bitcoin (BTC) didn’t ship a Santa rally for Christmas 2023 as Dec. 25 supplied much more sideways BTC value motion.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

Bitcoin volatility index plumbs lowest ever ranges

Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Professional and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD clinging to a good buying and selling vary round $16,800.

The pair had stubbornly refused to supply any type of volatility by a lot of the week, with an absence of a macro set off reinforcing lackluster efficiency.

“Bitcoin’s volatility is at an all-time low,” William Clemente, founding father of crypto analysis agency Reflexivity, famous alongside a chart of the Bitcoin historic volatility index.

Bitcoin historic volatility index 1-week candle chart. Supply: TradingView

He added that the full crypto market cap had retraced the whole lot of its features from its 2017 highs and was now testing these highs as assist.

Crypto market cap 1-month candle chart. Supply: TradingView

Dealer and analyst Phoenix in the meantime eyed similarities to Christmas 2018, proper after the pit of Bitcoin’s final bear market throughout its earlier halving cycle.

The size of time between its prior all-time excessive and Christmas lows a 12 months later, he confirmed, had been broadly related — 117 bars and 137 candles for 2018 and 2022, respectively, on the 3-day chart.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Phoenix/ Twitter

Worst to come back in Q1?

Trying forward, fellow fashionable analytics account Bagsy had some equally uninspiring information for hodlers going into 2023.

Associated: Xmas dinner desk: What to inform your loved ones about what occurred in crypto this 12 months

Subsequent 12 months, he forecast, BTC/USD would fail to interrupt above $25,000, leaving the true restoration to its halving 12 months, 2024.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Bagsy/ Twitter

Even much less optimistic was analyst Toni Ghinea, who on Christmas Eve doubled down on his idea that subsequent quarter would produce the subsequent bear market trough.

This did, nonetheless, depart room for a last dash towards $19,000 within the final week of the 12 months.

“Final bull entice at 17.5-19k in December-January. Remaining crash to 11-14k in Q1 2023,” he predicted.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Toni Ghinea/ Twitter

The views, ideas and opinions expressed listed below are the authors’ alone and don’t essentially mirror or characterize the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.



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